{"id":20534,"date":"2024-01-15T00:00:03","date_gmt":"2024-01-15T00:00:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.tamus.edu\/data-science\/?p=20534"},"modified":"2025-09-15T21:09:58","modified_gmt":"2025-09-15T21:09:58","slug":"are-outcomes-improving-at-public-universities-it-depends","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.tamus.edu\/data-science\/2024\/01\/15\/are-outcomes-improving-at-public-universities-it-depends\/","title":{"rendered":"Are Outcomes Improving at Public Universities? It Depends"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-post\" data-elementor-id=\"20534\" class=\"elementor elementor-20534\" data-elementor-post-type=\"post\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-31200cc elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"31200cc\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-5230732\" data-id=\"5230732\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-00cc615 elementor-widget__width-initial elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"00cc615\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>In our <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tamus.edu\/data-science\/2023\/12\/15\/stagnancy-in-success-6-year-graduation-rates-fall-slightly-in-2023\/\">previous blog post<\/a>, we explored data from the <a href=\"https:\/\/nscresearchcenter.org\/completing-college\/\">National Student Clearinghouse&#8217;s (NSC)<\/a>\u00a0annual update to the &#8220;Completing College: National and State Reports&#8221; series. In general, the national six-year graduation rate\u00a0for the fall 2017 cohort was 62.2%. This cohort included\u00a0full-time and part-time students who were\u00a0first-time enrollees at two- or four-year institutions, and who completed a degree at any degree-granting institution in the United States by AY2022-2023. This overall percentage remained essentially unchanged for the third consecutive year.\u00a0<\/p><p>Although the NSC data in our previous post combined all institution types into the state-level calculations, we narrow our focus to better understand six-year outcomes for just four-year public universities in the US.\u00a0<span style=\"color: var( --e-global-color-text ); font-family: var( --e-global-typography-text-font-family ), Sans-serif; font-weight: var( --e-global-typography-text-font-weight );\">The first visualization below (<\/span><span style=\"color: var( --e-global-color-text ); font-family: var( --e-global-typography-text-font-family ), Sans-serif; font-weight: bold;\">2017 Cohort<\/span><span style=\"color: var( --e-global-color-text ); font-family: var( --e-global-typography-text-font-family ), Sans-serif; font-weight: var( --e-global-typography-text-font-weight );\">)\u00a0<\/span><span style=\"color: var( --e-global-color-text ); font-family: var( --e-global-typography-text-font-family ), Sans-serif; font-weight: var( --e-global-typography-text-font-weight );\">shows six-year outcome rates by five categories: Completed at Original Institution, Completed at Other (4-Year) Institution, Completed at Other (2-Year) Institution, Still Enrolled, and No Longer Enrolled. The first category, <i>Completed at Original Institution<\/i>, is the traditional metric that most in higher education associate with the typical &#8220;graduation rate&#8221; calculation. Of the other four NSC designations, <i>No Longer Enrolled<\/i>\u00a0represents the main negative outcome for students who leave school without earning an associate&#8217;s degree or higher.<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"color: var( --e-global-color-text ); font-family: var( --e-global-typography-text-font-family ), Sans-serif; font-weight: bold;\"><u>2017 Cohort<\/u><\/span><\/p><ul><li><b>Across all four-year public universities, just over 75% of first-time students had either completed a degree within six years or were still enrolled somewhere in higher education in the United States<\/b>. The overall national rate for students who were no longer enrolled and had not finished a degree was 24.3%.<\/li><li>More than 71% of the 13,000 first-time enrollees in Iowa public universities (the highest percentage among the states) completed their bachelor&#8217;s degree at the original institution, with almost 87% earning a bachelor&#8217;s degree, an associate&#8217;s degree, or were still enrolled at the six-year milestone.<\/li><li><b>Just over 55% of first-time enrollees at Texas public universities completed their bachelor&#8217;s degree at their original institution<\/b>. This percentage ranked Texas in 29th place when compared to the other states in the primary NSC metric. More than 23% of students in the 2017 cohort across Texas public universities were no longer enrolled or had not earned a degree within six years, placing Texas 25th in comparison to other states.<\/li><\/ul><p><u><b>2008-2017 Trends<\/b><\/u><\/p><ul><li>The second visualization below shows 10-year trend data by state, focusing on 6-year graduation rates for students completing their degree from the originating institution. Several states are highlighted for comparison to Texas.<\/li><li>Virginia and Iowa have been the highest-performing states for graduation rates from the originating institution for the past decade. Virginia&#8217;s 10-year average was 70.24% and Iowa&#8217;s was 70.16%.\u00a0<\/li><li><b>Texas saw an overall increase of 7.7 percentage points from 2008 (47.6%) to 2017 (55.3%). This increase placed Texas 21st out of all states in the NSC data.<\/b> The lowest graduation rate for Texas was 46.5% in the 2009 cohort with the peak percentage of 56.2% in the 2015 cohort.<\/li><li>The state of Idaho demonstrated the highest increase of 23.6 percentage points from 30.2% in 2008 to 53.8% to 2017. <b>California was ranked last in terms of percentage point growth with a 4.2 percentage point decrease from 61.7% in 2008 to 57.5% in 2017<\/b>.\u00a0<\/li><\/ul>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-3746850 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"3746850\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-e9f018a\" data-id=\"e9f018a\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-c609468 elementor-tabs-view-horizontal elementor-widget elementor-widget-tabs\" data-id=\"c609468\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"tabs.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-tabs\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-tabs-wrapper\" role=\"tablist\" >\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div id=\"elementor-tab-title-2071\" class=\"elementor-tab-title elementor-tab-desktop-title\" aria-selected=\"true\" data-tab=\"1\" role=\"tab\" tabindex=\"0\" aria-controls=\"elementor-tab-content-2071\" aria-expanded=\"false\">2017 Cohort<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div id=\"elementor-tab-title-2072\" class=\"elementor-tab-title elementor-tab-desktop-title\" aria-selected=\"false\" data-tab=\"2\" role=\"tab\" tabindex=\"-1\" aria-controls=\"elementor-tab-content-2072\" aria-expanded=\"false\">2008-2017 Trends<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-tabs-content-wrapper\" role=\"tablist\" aria-orientation=\"vertical\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-tab-title elementor-tab-mobile-title\" aria-selected=\"true\" data-tab=\"1\" role=\"tab\" tabindex=\"0\" aria-controls=\"elementor-tab-content-2071\" aria-expanded=\"false\">2017 Cohort<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<div id=\"elementor-tab-content-2071\" class=\"elementor-tab-content elementor-clearfix\" data-tab=\"1\" role=\"tabpanel\" aria-labelledby=\"elementor-tab-title-2071\" tabindex=\"0\" hidden=\"false\"><h5>6-year outcome measure rates across all states in 2017 cohort: Public 4-year institutions only<\/h5>\n<iframe title=\"2017 Cohort\" src=\"https:\/\/observablehq.com\/embed\/b274db337a3a1d37@1587?cells=statusPlotAll\" width=\"100%\" height=\"1200\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-tab-title elementor-tab-mobile-title\" aria-selected=\"false\" data-tab=\"2\" role=\"tab\" tabindex=\"-1\" aria-controls=\"elementor-tab-content-2072\" aria-expanded=\"false\">2008-2017 Trends<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<div id=\"elementor-tab-content-2072\" class=\"elementor-tab-content elementor-clearfix\" data-tab=\"2\" role=\"tabpanel\" aria-labelledby=\"elementor-tab-title-2072\" tabindex=\"0\" hidden=\"hidden\"><h5>Change in 6-year graduation rate from originating institution (public universities, 2008 to 2017 cohorts)<\/h5>\n<iframe title=\"2008-2017 Trends\" src=\"https:\/\/observablehq.com\/embed\/b274db337a3a1d37@1588?cells=chartD3version\" width=\"100%\" height=\"700\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-1ea2915 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"1ea2915\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-9022098\" data-id=\"9022098\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-68127a8 elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"68127a8\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">So What?<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-dd1a850 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"dd1a850\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-224a564\" data-id=\"224a564\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-a1c77be elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"a1c77be\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>The national data in the NSC report offer a somewhat mixed-bag of results. From a positive perspective, the percentage of students who started at a public four-year institution and completed a degree from that institution within six years increased from 49.8% in the 2008 cohort to just over 57% in the 2017 cohort.\u00a0<span style=\"color: var( --e-global-color-text ); font-family: var( --e-global-typography-text-font-family ), Sans-serif; font-weight: var( --e-global-typography-text-font-weight );\">An examination of the other &#8220;positive outcome&#8221; categories shows decreases in the percentage of students who either completed a degree at a different 4-year or 2-year school, or who were still enrolled after six years. Most disconcerting is that\u00a0<\/span><span style=\"color: var( --e-global-color-text ); font-family: var( --e-global-typography-text-font-family ), Sans-serif; font-weight: var( --e-global-typography-text-font-weight );\">the <\/span><b style=\"color: var( --e-global-color-text ); font-family: var( --e-global-typography-text-font-family ), Sans-serif;\">percentage of students who are no longer enrolled and have not earned a degree increased from 22.7% in 2008 to 24.3% in 2017<\/b><span style=\"color: var( --e-global-color-text ); font-family: var( --e-global-typography-text-font-family ), Sans-serif; font-weight: var( --e-global-typography-text-font-weight );\">. This means that 1 out of every 4 students who enters a public university in the United States leaves without earning at least an associate&#8217;s degree within six years. This trend is moving in the wrong direction, and it is something we will explore further in future blog posts.<\/span><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In our previous blog post, we explored data from the National Student Clearinghouse&#8217;s (NSC)\u00a0annual update to the &#8220;Completing College: National and State Reports&#8221; series. In general, the national six-year graduation rate\u00a0for the fall 2017 cohort was 62.2%. This cohort included\u00a0full-time and part-time students who were\u00a0first-time enrollees at two- or four-year institutions, and who completed a&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1067,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"elementor_theme","format":"standard","meta":{"inline_featured_image":false,"_kad_blocks_custom_css":"","_kad_blocks_head_custom_js":"","_kad_blocks_body_custom_js":"","_kad_blocks_footer_custom_js":"","_kadence_starter_templates_imported_post":false,"_kad_post_transparent":"default","_kad_post_title":"default","_kad_post_layout":"default","_kad_post_sidebar_id":"","_kad_post_content_style":"default","_kad_post_vertical_padding":"default","_kad_post_feature":"","_kad_post_feature_position":"","_kad_post_header":false,"_kad_post_footer":false,"_kad_post_classname":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[19,13,46],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-20534","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-educational-attainment","category-graduation","category-universities"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Are Outcomes Improving at Public Universities? It Depends - Data Science<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.tamus.edu\/data-science\/2024\/01\/15\/are-outcomes-improving-at-public-universities-it-depends\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Are Outcomes Improving at Public Universities? It Depends - Data Science\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"In our previous blog post, we explored data from the National Student Clearinghouse&#8217;s (NSC)\u00a0annual update to the &#8220;Completing College: National and State Reports&#8221; series. In general, the national six-year graduation rate\u00a0for the fall 2017 cohort was 62.2%. This cohort included\u00a0full-time and part-time students who were\u00a0first-time enrollees at two- or four-year institutions, and who completed a...\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.tamus.edu\/data-science\/2024\/01\/15\/are-outcomes-improving-at-public-universities-it-depends\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Data Science\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/tamusystem\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2024-01-15T00:00:03+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2025-09-15T21:09:58+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Blake Decker\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@tamusystem\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@tamusystem\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Blake Decker\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"4 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.tamus.edu\\\/data-science\\\/2024\\\/01\\\/15\\\/are-outcomes-improving-at-public-universities-it-depends\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.tamus.edu\\\/data-science\\\/2024\\\/01\\\/15\\\/are-outcomes-improving-at-public-universities-it-depends\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Blake Decker\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.tamus.edu\\\/data-science\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/85586d816f0c1679ad91952490f3369e\"},\"headline\":\"Are Outcomes Improving at Public Universities? 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