{"id":20531,"date":"2023-12-15T00:00:27","date_gmt":"2023-12-15T00:00:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.tamus.edu\/data-science\/?p=20531"},"modified":"2025-09-16T13:42:05","modified_gmt":"2025-09-16T13:42:05","slug":"stagnancy-in-success-6-year-graduation-rates-fall-slightly-in-2023","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.tamus.edu\/data-science\/2023\/12\/15\/stagnancy-in-success-6-year-graduation-rates-fall-slightly-in-2023\/","title":{"rendered":"Stagnancy in Success: 6-Year Graduation Rates Fall Slightly in 2023"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-post\" data-elementor-id=\"20531\" class=\"elementor elementor-20531\" data-elementor-post-type=\"post\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-31200cc elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"31200cc\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-5230732\" data-id=\"5230732\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-00cc615 elementor-widget__width-initial elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"00cc615\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/nscresearchcenter.org\/completing-college\/\">National Student Clearinghouse (NSC)<\/a> recently released its annual update to the &#8220;Completing College: National and State Reports&#8221; series. The primary metric used by the NSC is six-year graduation rates for first-time enrollees, including both full-time and part-time students, at two- or four-year institutions, who complete a degree at any degree-granting institution in the United States.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><u><b>Overall Trends<\/b><\/u>: The updated report includes completion rates for the fall 2017 cohort (and therefore graduated by 2023) and accounts for transfer within its national and state-level data.&nbsp;<span style=\"color: var( --e-global-color-text ); font-family: var( --e-global-typography-text-font-family ), Sans-serif; font-weight: var( --e-global-typography-text-font-weight );\">Across all higher education sectors<\/span><span style=\"color: var( --e-global-color-text ); font-family: var( --e-global-typography-text-font-family ), Sans-serif; font-weight: var( --e-global-typography-text-font-weight );\">, the national six-year graduation rate has remained essentially unchanged in the last three cohorts (62.2% for fall 2015, 62.3% for fall 2016, and 62.2% for fall 2017). <\/span><b style=\"color: var( --e-global-color-text ); font-family: var( --e-global-typography-text-font-family ), Sans-serif;\">This stagnation follows a 7-year upward trend where the overall national six-year graduation rate increased almost 10 percentage points from 52.9% in the fall 2009 cohort to 62.2% in fall 2015<\/b><span style=\"color: var( --e-global-color-text ); font-family: var( --e-global-typography-text-font-family ), Sans-serif; font-weight: var( --e-global-typography-text-font-weight );\">. Since 2015, public 2-year institutions are the only sector with an increase in six-year graduation rates, improving from 42.2% for the fall 2015 cohort to 43.4% for the fall 2017 cohort. Public 4-year institutions (69% in 2015 to 67.4% in 2017), private nonprofit 4-year institutions (78.3% in 2015 to 77.5% in 2017), and private for-profit 4-year institutions (46.4% in 2015 to 46% in 2017) all saw declines in graduation rates during this timeframe.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: var( --e-global-color-text ); font-family: var( --e-global-typography-text-font-family ), Sans-serif;\"><b><u>Outcome Measures<\/u><\/b><\/span><span style=\"color: var( --e-global-color-text ); font-family: var( --e-global-typography-text-font-family ), Sans-serif; font-weight: var( --e-global-typography-text-font-weight );\">: In addition to national completion rate data, the NSC also published data that show the percentage of students within the 2017 cohort across five outcome measures: completed degree at original institution, completed degree at another institution (4-year),&nbsp;<\/span><span style=\"color: var( --e-global-color-text ); font-family: var( --e-global-typography-text-font-family ), Sans-serif; font-weight: var( --e-global-typography-text-font-weight );\">completed degree at another institution (<\/span><span style=\"color: var( --e-global-color-text ); font-family: var( --e-global-typography-text-font-family ), Sans-serif; font-weight: var( --e-global-typography-text-font-weight );\">2-year), still enrolled, or no longer enrolled.&nbsp;<\/span><span style=\"color: var( --e-global-color-text ); font-family: var( --e-global-typography-text-font-family ), Sans-serif; font-weight: var( --e-global-typography-text-font-weight );\">These five categories are shown by state in the visualization below. Because the NSC data include students who started at either a 2-year or a 4-year institution, completion of a degree within 6 years can be either an associate&#8217;s degree or a bachelor&#8217;s degree.<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><b>Across all sectors nationally&nbsp;in the 2017 cohort data, just over 70% of all first-time students had either completed a degree within six years or were still enrolled somewhere in higher education in the United States<\/b>. The rate for students who were no longer enrolled and had not finished a degree was 29.2%.<\/li>\n<li>The states of Rhode Island and Vermont had the highest percentage of students in the fall 2017 cohort who completed a degree or were still enrolled after 6 years at just over 80%. Alaska had the lowest percentage of students who completed a degree or were still enrolled after 6 years at just over 50%.<\/li>\n<li><b>Texas institutions had 45% of their first-time students in the fall 2017 cohort complete a degree at the original institution in 6 years, placing Texas 43rd out of 50 states on this metric<\/b>. Adding completions at other institutions and still enrolled students increases Texas&#8217; &#8220;positive&#8221; outcomes rate to 68% after 6 years, placing Texas in 35th position out of 50 states. <b>This means that almost one-third of students who start at any 2-year or 4-year institution in Texas leave without a degree within 6 years of enrollment<\/b>.<\/li>\n<li>Compared to the 13 other states with at least 50,000 first-time students enrolled in the fall 2017 cohort, Texas had the lowest percentage of students either completing a degree or still enrolled after 6 years. California (68.5%), Florida (68%), and Texas (67.9%) were all below the national average of just over 70.8%.&nbsp;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-c251bed elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"c251bed\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-6404daf\" data-id=\"6404daf\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-63c26cd elementor-widget elementor-widget-html\" data-id=\"63c26cd\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"html.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<iframe title=\"6-year outcome measure rates across all states in 2017 cohort\" width=\"100%\" height=\"1259\" frameborder=\"0\"\r\n  src=\"https:\/\/observablehq.com\/embed\/ae0327f249f853b1@782?cells=statusPlotAll\"><\/iframe>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-1ea2915 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"1ea2915\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-9022098\" data-id=\"9022098\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-68127a8 elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"68127a8\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">So What?<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-dd1a850 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"dd1a850\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-224a564\" data-id=\"224a564\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-a1c77be elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"a1c77be\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>How do we define success in higher education? For students and 4-year institutions alike, the generally-accepted 6-year window for calculating the successful completion of a degree is the de facto standard.\u00a0The better question might be, &#8220;how <b><i>should<\/i><\/b> we define success in higher education?&#8221; With an estimated 74% of undergraduate students in US institutions having at least one nontraditional student characteristic (<a href=\"https:\/\/nces.ed.gov\/datalab\/powerstats\/157-national-postsecondary-student-aid-study-2020-undergraduate-students\/percentage-distribution\">NCES\u00a0Powerstats<\/a>), as well as increases in dual credit, transfer, and &#8220;swirling&#8221; students, the traditional metrics of first-year retention and 6-year graduation rates for first-time, full-time, degree-seeking students capture fewer students each year. Future blog posts will explore additional metrics to better understand the landscape of how student success is currently measured within the United States.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The National Student Clearinghouse (NSC) recently released its annual update to the &#8220;Completing College: National and State Reports&#8221; series. The primary metric used by the NSC is six-year graduation rates for first-time enrollees, including both full-time and part-time students, at two- or four-year institutions, who complete a degree at any degree-granting institution in the United&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1067,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"elementor_theme","format":"standard","meta":{"inline_featured_image":false,"_kad_blocks_custom_css":"","_kad_blocks_head_custom_js":"","_kad_blocks_body_custom_js":"","_kad_blocks_footer_custom_js":"","_kadence_starter_templates_imported_post":false,"_kad_post_transparent":"default","_kad_post_title":"default","_kad_post_layout":"default","_kad_post_sidebar_id":"","_kad_post_content_style":"default","_kad_post_vertical_padding":"default","_kad_post_feature":"","_kad_post_feature_position":"","_kad_post_header":false,"_kad_post_footer":false,"_kad_post_classname":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[19,13,46],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-20531","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-educational-attainment","category-graduation","category-universities"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Stagnancy in Success: 6-Year Graduation Rates Fall Slightly in 2023 - Data Science<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.tamus.edu\/data-science\/2023\/12\/15\/stagnancy-in-success-6-year-graduation-rates-fall-slightly-in-2023\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Stagnancy in Success: 6-Year Graduation Rates Fall Slightly in 2023 - Data Science\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The National Student Clearinghouse (NSC) recently released its annual update to the &#8220;Completing College: National and State Reports&#8221; series. The primary metric used by the NSC is six-year graduation rates for first-time enrollees, including both full-time and part-time students, at two- or four-year institutions, who complete a degree at any degree-granting institution in the United...\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.tamus.edu\/data-science\/2023\/12\/15\/stagnancy-in-success-6-year-graduation-rates-fall-slightly-in-2023\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Data Science\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/tamusystem\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2023-12-15T00:00:27+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2025-09-16T13:42:05+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Blake Decker\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@tamusystem\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@tamusystem\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Blake Decker\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.tamus.edu\\\/data-science\\\/2023\\\/12\\\/15\\\/stagnancy-in-success-6-year-graduation-rates-fall-slightly-in-2023\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.tamus.edu\\\/data-science\\\/2023\\\/12\\\/15\\\/stagnancy-in-success-6-year-graduation-rates-fall-slightly-in-2023\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Blake Decker\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.tamus.edu\\\/data-science\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/85586d816f0c1679ad91952490f3369e\"},\"headline\":\"Stagnancy in Success: 6-Year Graduation Rates Fall Slightly in 2023\",\"datePublished\":\"2023-12-15T00:00:27+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-09-16T13:42:05+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.tamus.edu\\\/data-science\\\/2023\\\/12\\\/15\\\/stagnancy-in-success-6-year-graduation-rates-fall-slightly-in-2023\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":641,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.tamus.edu\\\/data-science\\\/#organization\"},\"articleSection\":[\"Educational Attainment\",\"Graduation\",\"Universities\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.tamus.edu\\\/data-science\\\/2023\\\/12\\\/15\\\/stagnancy-in-success-6-year-graduation-rates-fall-slightly-in-2023\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.tamus.edu\\\/data-science\\\/2023\\\/12\\\/15\\\/stagnancy-in-success-6-year-graduation-rates-fall-slightly-in-2023\\\/\",\"name\":\"Stagnancy in Success: 6-Year Graduation Rates Fall Slightly in 2023 - 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